It’s already popular with a good userbase. Popular with idiots? Hopefully not.
The Fediverse is only gonna get better. The other ones will all come and go.
In some number of years after another social media debacle or two, once the Fediverse has had some time to ditch its FOSS clunkiness, it’ll be game over for anything else.
We need to make it popular against all corporate forces like meta, X, bluesky etc. By creating more content and interacting with it more.
It’s popular enough for me already. I kind of hope it doesn’t become the online site because that will just attract trolls.
I’ve also been using Trust Café (aka WT.Social) but I like the Lemmy UI a lot better.
(thinking of Reddit) God, I hope not."
Lemmy doesn’t have to be Reddit. Lemmy is Lemmy. Keep coming here and giving it content and it will be all it will ever need to be.
I hope not
Sames
Don’t really care either way, i like it here.
I quite like it too
very hot take:
regular people will never get rid of twitter or meta, Facebook. YouTube. it’s incompatible with their psychology.
they need to use what other people are using, they need to see “content” from their followed users
switching to another platform will kill that for them for weeks and stall their “growth”
to be forward thinking and to give up something you’ve had is too much for the average person
which is why I’m on Lemmy: there’s nothing reddit offers to me that makes me “give” it up, it’s always been there but now that there’s competition it’s worth trying something new out
I honestly think id anything Lemmy will have a slow decrease of users until it comes to a halt
I mean, noone used reddit 10 years ago. To a 37 year old like myself, that seems like the reddit shit blew up out of nowhere. Youtube is just a matter of time and outcome of future google break up cases before a legitimate competition comes for its industry share. FB will die with the boomers. The only one I see as a really unmovable object is Twitter because of the universal use by all major sports media/reporting/journalists. It’s the only one with end users applying the platform in any comercial sense outside of marketing. I think the question OP is asking will on the reliance of one of the other platforms falling.
Just my opinion tho so take it with a grain of salt.
Everyone looks at mega businesses as immune to decay. They’re not it just takes longer.
I think “x” may actually be the first to topple though. It’s losing money at an insane rate and that’s with a mega election year propping it up. That’s one of the reasons Elon is pushing Trump so hard, is for the government bail out he’ll get.
You are so fuckin high on the anti Elon hivemind smoke it’s clouding your ability to quantify how much money he has and the fact that X is now an entirely private company. You think he is doing all the Trump shit for a bail out from a government who, has only issued a bailout that applied to privately held companies once in its almlst 250 year existence?
Homie, I think he’s an idiot as much as the next but let’s come down from mars and back to reality. Then we will circle back and cover how much money 250 billion dollars is and how the entire presence of Twitter could leave, bankruptcy the company and still be a massive tax write off without any favorable treatment from DC beyond what perks he already qualifies for by being of the .000000001% tax backracket minority.
It’s losing money at an insane rate and that’s with a mega election year propping it up.
We won’t even make a stink about your typo that twitter’s advertisement revenue stream as being driven by the same mechanisms used to figure out a YouTube influencer’s advertivment revenue stream. We will call it an autocorrect oversight that your comment accidentally says the election attention and resulting increase of user activity affect how much companies pay twitter for its advertising spots and not the number of likes or subscriptions or user visits because they would be insane to agree to terms where the amount they’re invoiced is dependent on statistics that can’t decipher between bot accounts and active user accounts.
If ya made it to the end of this and your take away is that I’m a Elon stan, re-read it or tell me why because I cognizantly tried to make sure none of my over the top satirical statements made in this reply would tip a hat or give any slight implications that would credit Elon for being a shrewd or competent business owner. I’m just sick of the fuck Elon hivemind ignoring very objective facts about how shit works in lazy replies only intended to get their shot in at beating the dead horse named Elon’s and Idiot.
JFC, that is a lot of uneducated nonsense. “X” is losing 400-500 million a year, we know this from companies that lent him money and are public. I never said Elon would go bankrupt just “X”. Trump has constantly done anything he wants without care to precedence and has shown that he’ll do anything for a dollar. He also is a dementia laden fool that can be led around like a puppy right now.
I never said Elon was an idiot, that’s why I think he’ll get Trump to bail “X” out. Specifically because you don’t get that rich by losing money or passing up a chance to earn the kind of money he can off of Trump.
Oh, of course. We’ll easily be just as popular as Matrix and Mastodon.
sigh
Hey, I had a conversation on Matrix that one time!
And my Mastodon feed has TONS of content from George Takei.
How do you define popular? I think it already is reasonably popular, I see enough activity here that it prompts me to comment at least somewhere on most days. I think it’s going to become more popular over time.
If I saw this question posted the first time I visited Lemmy (some months before the Reddit app drama) with “popular” being defined as the current level of activity, my clear answer would be a loud and clear “probably not”.
Current as in today? Or then-current (pre-exodus)?
I meant to say that I would never have believed back then that Lemmy would become as popular as it is today.
My point is that it’s a moving target. Reddit has a billion active users. Instagram has two billion. I don’t think these make sense as targets.
sure. it took reddit 20 years to get to its size.
Delusional and wishful thinking. Lemmy will most likely slowly fade out of existance.
I think people don’t realise how old Reddit is, it was smaller than Lemmy is now when I first started using it.
It also took death of a platform “Digg” to jump start its growth.
haha this is not true… dude i was there, digg came/went and little impact on reddits user base
And it’s arguably in the process of dying itself right now, in quality if not in user count yet.
and no subreddits! i was there too! it really started gaining traction and losing technical users when the ‘image macros’ started… memes took over
Obligatory image macros =/= memes.
I remember back when people were so pedantic over that. Happy people don’t really care anymore
Social media in general was also a lot smaller back then too.
Until the iPhone got popular you had to use a computer to access it. And back then we didn’t really trust sleep mode very much so you had to wait 2 minutes for windows to boot when you wanted to go on the net. VS right now I’m standing in from of my clothes not getting ready for work for 45 seconds.
Wait to boot? Back then I had a dozen machines all running 24/7 lol. But I guess the average user on the consumer side yeah.
it was smaller than Lemmy is now when I first started using it.
so now we know whom to blame for its enshittification
I think it’s already popular.
Yeah, I loke ig a lot!
I really don’t think so. The vast majority of internet users just stick with whatever simple thing that serves their need. Lemmy isn’t the most difficult thing, but if reddit already exists and is more popular then people won’t be leaving that for this if they haven’t already.
The boost in people coming here last year was a “last straw” kind of deal from people using reddit who cared enough about not supporting their shit decisions, but by now that has died down and we’ve seen from recent articles that reddit “won” and they have a metric fuckton of users.
Things need to be really bad at Reddit before most people would consider leaving. On the other hand, Lemmy would need to be amazingly good to produce the same effect. Neither of these have happened yet, so only few people migrated.
I think the only thing that would 100% kill Reddit is a paid subscription, anything other than that I don’t see it.
TV has proven that people are willing to tolerate an amazing amount of ads too. I wonder if you could crank up the ads to posts ratio to something like 90% and still have enough users.
the place is infested with bots, and that’s probably “winning” to them.
It depends whether the servers can handle the inevitable next Reddit exodus.
Honestly no, and that’s okay?
Early web2 websites like MySpace did become “popular”. But IMO one of its layckings was trying out web2 by evolving something from web1’s static websites.
Where Facebook is the platform that popularized web2 in a way that worked with what web2 was and fundamentally build something new off of that.
I think Lemmy/mastatdon/most current federated clones that exist today won’t last all that long. Something that is built with federation to its core and instead of just being a feature, is central to its offering.
What is that? Not a god damn clue.
But I’m excited to try it out.
Disclaimer: not a historian. Born in the early 90s so a lot of my judgement above is bassed off of foggy memories and are my opinions and only opions.
