Netanyahu rejecting the offer outright leads to more death and violence in the short and long term.
Just the short term really. The least deaths in the long term from a game theory perspective is to make the value of the hostages zero or even negative.
Israel’s biggest mistake in the hostage back and forth was in the past giving up like 1000 fighters for some hostages.
Instead Israel should occupy like an additional acre of Palestine everytime a hostage/day is taken. Domestically the loss of territory seems to be the only thing that matters to Palestinians, in terms of political support. So they need to take that away.
Thousands more would die in the next war for hoatages if they’re allowed to be viable. Long term, peace on the '67 borders is the only way to minimize total casualties.
Hamas has proven over the last 20 years that it will continue to attack Israel no matter what. It’s proven that it doesn’t care about the lives of Palestinians.
I took agree that peace leads to less death. The question is how to get there.
Hamas are a terrorist organisation who committed a horrible act. Hamas are not in power in the west bank, yet the Palestinians there have suffered apartheid and lose land to Israeli settlers in breach of international law. This is happening for years.
If we look at stats from before October, the loss of lives is clearly on the Palestinians side to a much higher degree. If we look at since October, it’s the same.
Hamas commits horrible acts. Israel commits horrible acts.
Keeping civilian hostages as human shields is a war crime. Indiscriminately bombing civilians and civilian infrastructure is a war crime.
Indiscriminately bombing civilians and civilian infrastructure is a war crime.
Israel clearly isn’t indiscriminately bombing Gaza.
If we look at stats from before October, the loss of lives is clearly on the Palestinians side to a much higher degree. If we look at since October, it’s the same.
That should be expected since only one side spends money on defensive technology. Hamas has been complaining about Israeli air strikes since it came to power. It’s spent billions on unguided rockets and ripping up infrastructure. But it’s built zero bomb shelters for it’s people, even admonishing civilians trying to use the built tunnels for shelter. It’s installed zero radar systems. It’s purchased zero anti-aircraft guns. It’s done absolutely nothing to protect it’s citizens and continues to start new wars.
Why would we expect the death tolls to be equal? That’s like me, an American complaining that healthcare in America isn’t available for everyone like it is for Canadians and demanding that Canada fix that problem.
I would call bombing hospitals and refugee camps indiscriminate bombing. Some people are given warnings. Some are not. So perhaps I should clarify that not all of their bombing is indiscriminate. Much is.
Proportional response and efforts to minimse civilian casualties are required under war conventions. This is not happening.
Your point about only one side having the capability to be hugely aggressive onky bolsters my point. Israel is the aggressor in such a situation.
I am not saying Hamas is a good government. Both sides can be terrible. However, Hamas not building bomb shelters does not make it ok for Israel to bomb citizens indiscriminately.
I don’t expect the tolls to be equal. I do however take note that when Israel uses aggressive actions by Hamas for justification, that they are in fact the aggressors in the majority of cases with injury or death.
War is horrible. Civilians die. However, Israel’s policy seems clearly, with the current and past events, to be genocide. They are trying to eliminate the Palestinian people from land they want.
I would call bombing hospitals and refugee camps indiscriminate bombing
That seems to be more because you don’t know what the word “indiscriminate” means rather than that adjective being an accurate description of Israeli’s bombing campaign.
Proportional response and efforts to minimse civilian casualties are required under war conventions.
Actually only the second is required. And the second is happening. “Proportional response” is something that can be required by private party treaty as a peacetime control, but it’s not part of the rules of war.
Your point about only one side having the capability to be hugely aggressive onky bolsters my point. Israel is the aggressor in such a situation.
Actually it shows the opposite. Israel could have done what it’s doing at any point since the last major conflict and ceasefire in 2018. Their lack of aggression and desire for peace kept them from doing so and they only did so once provoked by a frankly disgusting series of acts that forced them to reconsider the viability of peace with Hamas.
That’s the opposite of aggression.
However, Israel’s policy seems clearly, with the current and past events, to be genocide. They are trying to eliminate the Palestinian people from land they want.
To believe this you must believe the IDF is one of the most incompetent military forces on the face of the planet.
Did you even read the definition you linked to.
" not discriminating or discerning; lacking in care, judgment, selectivity, etc "
They are bombing hospitals without care that it is a hospital. They are trying to justify it, but that’s not the same as being justified or mindful.
Your next point is that Israel by virtue of having firepower greater than Palestine is good by virtue of not already being on a bloody rampage? We don’t reward a murderer for eating in the prison canteen without murdering the other inmates. Your argument is absurd.
I said war conventions, you changed the goalposts and said rules of war. That’s a sneaky way to try and undermine my point, which is valid.
Also paying lip service to slight reduction in civilian casualties is not the same as prioritizing.
What justification could you possibly have for the annexation of the folan heights and other areas in the west bank that shows Israel seeking a peaceful solution, which the majority of the international community sees as a two state solution. Israel is purposely undermining that effort in contravention of international law for decades.
Whereas before it was a slow genocide, now it is slaughter. It’s. Een poutbrf out in this chain already but it’s worth pointing out again that over 50% of the Palestinians are under 18.
The lessons of the Holocaust have been lost to history. It’s a sad reflection on humanity that the nation state with those that lost the most are the very same that willfully inflicting the horror in others.
Did you even read the definition you linked to. " not discriminating or discerning; lacking in care, judgment, selectivity, etc "
Yes and have you been paying attention to this war? They e avoided hitting hospitals that Hamas is operating out of. Every strike is balanced against their generic goal. There are reports from on the ground of them delaying strikes to ensure that the maximum number of civilians can get evacuated. It’s very clear they’re not indiscriminately bombing. It’s very clear they’re being selective in where they bomb.
Your next point is that Israel by virtue of having firepower greater than Palestine is good by virtue of not already being on a bloody rampage. We don’t reward a murderer for eating in the prison canteen without murdering the other inmates. Your argument is absurd.
I never claimed “good”, you called Israel aggressive. But they’re definitely not aggressive. To keep your metaphor going, if the 4’ guy keeps trying to rape the 7’ guy in the shower and keeps getting knocked in the teeth, the 7’ guy isn’t “aggressive” for that. Of one day the 4’ guy brings a bat and then gets beat up severely that’s still on the 4’ guy.
I said war conventions, you changed the goalposts and said rules of war. That’s a sneaky way to try and undermine my point, which is valid.
Not being sneaky. The conventions on war define the rules of war. They’re one and the same. Nothinf sneaky there, just a lack of knowledge on your part.
What justification could you possibly have for the annexation of the folan heights and other areas in the west bank that shows Israel seeking a peaceful solution, which the majority of the international community sees as a two state solution. Israel is purposely undermining that effort in contravention of international law for decades.
They’ve not annexed the Golan Heights that’s still disputed between them and the Rump state of Syria, similarly to the territory that’s in the middle of the Hezbollah/Lebanon stuff.
Israel pulled out of Gaza seeking a peaceful solution. Gazans and Palestinians mistook their desire for peace as a sign of weakness and have been attacking ever since.
And last I checked Palestinians rejected a two state solution deal that had 99% of the '67 borders, no settlers and land swaps to give Palestinians more land than they had in 1967.
Oh and Israel cares so much about civilians lost. Perhaps you should check the numbers of killed and injured people on both sides even before 7.10, to get a bit of perspective.
I mean they clearly do. A cheap and WW2 era artillery bombardment of the region could have killed an easy 200k in a week.
The UN believes a modern conflict will kill about 9 civilians for every militant. Hamas’ government last I checked reported about 11k casualties, 100% civilians. If that’s the IDF would need to have killed 1,200 Hamas fighters to meet that ratio. Given that there’s an estimated 20-40k fighters in Gaza we should expect 180k-360k casualties if the IDF nominally completes their goal of eliminating Hamas military.
Just the short term really. The least deaths in the long term from a game theory perspective is to make the value of the hostages zero or even negative.
Israel’s biggest mistake in the hostage back and forth was in the past giving up like 1000 fighters for some hostages.
Instead Israel should occupy like an additional acre of Palestine everytime a hostage/day is taken. Domestically the loss of territory seems to be the only thing that matters to Palestinians, in terms of political support. So they need to take that away.
Your game theory is only considering the lives of hostages in the short and long term. Thousands are dying in the meanwhile.
Thousands more would die in the next war for hoatages if they’re allowed to be viable. Long term, peace on the '67 borders is the only way to minimize total casualties.
Hamas has proven over the last 20 years that it will continue to attack Israel no matter what. It’s proven that it doesn’t care about the lives of Palestinians.
I took agree that peace leads to less death. The question is how to get there.
Hamas are a terrorist organisation who committed a horrible act. Hamas are not in power in the west bank, yet the Palestinians there have suffered apartheid and lose land to Israeli settlers in breach of international law. This is happening for years.
If we look at stats from before October, the loss of lives is clearly on the Palestinians side to a much higher degree. If we look at since October, it’s the same.
Hamas commits horrible acts. Israel commits horrible acts.
Keeping civilian hostages as human shields is a war crime. Indiscriminately bombing civilians and civilian infrastructure is a war crime.
Israel clearly isn’t indiscriminately bombing Gaza.
That should be expected since only one side spends money on defensive technology. Hamas has been complaining about Israeli air strikes since it came to power. It’s spent billions on unguided rockets and ripping up infrastructure. But it’s built zero bomb shelters for it’s people, even admonishing civilians trying to use the built tunnels for shelter. It’s installed zero radar systems. It’s purchased zero anti-aircraft guns. It’s done absolutely nothing to protect it’s citizens and continues to start new wars.
Why would we expect the death tolls to be equal? That’s like me, an American complaining that healthcare in America isn’t available for everyone like it is for Canadians and demanding that Canada fix that problem.
I would call bombing hospitals and refugee camps indiscriminate bombing. Some people are given warnings. Some are not. So perhaps I should clarify that not all of their bombing is indiscriminate. Much is.
Proportional response and efforts to minimse civilian casualties are required under war conventions. This is not happening.
Your point about only one side having the capability to be hugely aggressive onky bolsters my point. Israel is the aggressor in such a situation.
I am not saying Hamas is a good government. Both sides can be terrible. However, Hamas not building bomb shelters does not make it ok for Israel to bomb citizens indiscriminately.
I don’t expect the tolls to be equal. I do however take note that when Israel uses aggressive actions by Hamas for justification, that they are in fact the aggressors in the majority of cases with injury or death.
War is horrible. Civilians die. However, Israel’s policy seems clearly, with the current and past events, to be genocide. They are trying to eliminate the Palestinian people from land they want.
That seems to be more because you don’t know what the word “indiscriminate” means rather than that adjective being an accurate description of Israeli’s bombing campaign.
Actually only the second is required. And the second is happening. “Proportional response” is something that can be required by private party treaty as a peacetime control, but it’s not part of the rules of war.
Actually it shows the opposite. Israel could have done what it’s doing at any point since the last major conflict and ceasefire in 2018. Their lack of aggression and desire for peace kept them from doing so and they only did so once provoked by a frankly disgusting series of acts that forced them to reconsider the viability of peace with Hamas.
That’s the opposite of aggression.
To believe this you must believe the IDF is one of the most incompetent military forces on the face of the planet.
Did you even read the definition you linked to. " not discriminating or discerning; lacking in care, judgment, selectivity, etc "
They are bombing hospitals without care that it is a hospital. They are trying to justify it, but that’s not the same as being justified or mindful.
Your next point is that Israel by virtue of having firepower greater than Palestine is good by virtue of not already being on a bloody rampage? We don’t reward a murderer for eating in the prison canteen without murdering the other inmates. Your argument is absurd.
I said war conventions, you changed the goalposts and said rules of war. That’s a sneaky way to try and undermine my point, which is valid.
Also paying lip service to slight reduction in civilian casualties is not the same as prioritizing.
What justification could you possibly have for the annexation of the folan heights and other areas in the west bank that shows Israel seeking a peaceful solution, which the majority of the international community sees as a two state solution. Israel is purposely undermining that effort in contravention of international law for decades.
Whereas before it was a slow genocide, now it is slaughter. It’s. Een poutbrf out in this chain already but it’s worth pointing out again that over 50% of the Palestinians are under 18.
The lessons of the Holocaust have been lost to history. It’s a sad reflection on humanity that the nation state with those that lost the most are the very same that willfully inflicting the horror in others.
Yes and have you been paying attention to this war? They e avoided hitting hospitals that Hamas is operating out of. Every strike is balanced against their generic goal. There are reports from on the ground of them delaying strikes to ensure that the maximum number of civilians can get evacuated. It’s very clear they’re not indiscriminately bombing. It’s very clear they’re being selective in where they bomb.
I never claimed “good”, you called Israel aggressive. But they’re definitely not aggressive. To keep your metaphor going, if the 4’ guy keeps trying to rape the 7’ guy in the shower and keeps getting knocked in the teeth, the 7’ guy isn’t “aggressive” for that. Of one day the 4’ guy brings a bat and then gets beat up severely that’s still on the 4’ guy.
Not being sneaky. The conventions on war define the rules of war. They’re one and the same. Nothinf sneaky there, just a lack of knowledge on your part.
They’ve not annexed the Golan Heights that’s still disputed between them and the Rump state of Syria, similarly to the territory that’s in the middle of the Hezbollah/Lebanon stuff.
Israel pulled out of Gaza seeking a peaceful solution. Gazans and Palestinians mistook their desire for peace as a sign of weakness and have been attacking ever since.
And last I checked Palestinians rejected a two state solution deal that had 99% of the '67 borders, no settlers and land swaps to give Palestinians more land than they had in 1967.
Oh and Israel cares so much about civilians lost. Perhaps you should check the numbers of killed and injured people on both sides even before 7.10, to get a bit of perspective.
I mean they clearly do. A cheap and WW2 era artillery bombardment of the region could have killed an easy 200k in a week.
The UN believes a modern conflict will kill about 9 civilians for every militant. Hamas’ government last I checked reported about 11k casualties, 100% civilians. If that’s the IDF would need to have killed 1,200 Hamas fighters to meet that ratio. Given that there’s an estimated 20-40k fighters in Gaza we should expect 180k-360k casualties if the IDF nominally completes their goal of eliminating Hamas military.