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Cake day: March 5th, 2025

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  • Seems like Russia forced an agreement, then called it invalid when Ukraine stuck to the terms.

    What do you mean? The "agreement quickly broke down, with violations by both sides."

    That doesn’t sound like Ukraine sticking to the terms.

    Russia claimed that the Minsk agreements did not apply to their operations in Debaltseve and Ukraine used similar arguments when launching their own operations into grey zones as you can see here:

    “Yuriy Biriukov, an adviser to Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, says that almost the entire “grey” zone in Donbas, eastern Ukraine, has been liberated from Russian-led forces without breaching the Minsk peace agreements and is under control of the Ukrainian army.”

    Zelenskyy refused to federalize the country despite Ukraine having the obligation to give eastern territories autonomy through federalizing the country because of the Minsk Agreements. Ukraine also had the obligation to uphold linguistic rights to ethnic minorities but violated the Minsk Agreements with the 2019 language law which didn’t outright ban the Russian language but did discriminate against those who did not speak Ukrainian or an EU language.

    Yeh, so Russia wasn’t happy. And instead of going “this isnt in the spirit of the agreement” decided to botch an invasion, and is now targeting civilian targets.

    You can claim that Ukraine not upholding the Minsk Agreements doesn’t justify the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine, you’d be right but that doesn’t mean that Zelenskyy’s actions did not have a hand in starting it. Although personally, I see Russia’s 2022 relatively nice peace terms to be proof that while the invasion is horrendous, the current narrative is nonsense as well.

    Ukraine isn’t targeting civilians.

    Belgorod disagrees, with one shelling in the center of Belgorod for example killing 21 including 3 children.


  • It seems like Allawites in Latakia are staging an uprising with remnants of the former Assad regime launching attacks across the country (but mostly in Lakatia).

    This has to be some coordinated attack, it is too sudden. If you asked me yesterday if the Syrian civil war would heat up again, I would have said no but things might change due to recent events.

    Pro-Assad forces also have just taken control of the Latakia naval academy.

    Edit: Commander of the Russian Forces in Syria, General Yuryevich stated this:

    “If HTS convoys approach Khmeimim, we will turn them into ashes. We are monitoring the situation closely.”

    Also, Anti-HTS forces have taken control of artillery batteries on top of Mount Yunus, the highest strategic peak on the Syrian coast.


  • No way dude! But with what industry though?

    In all seriousness, Russia was producing 20-30 T-90Ms per month (or 240-360 per year) in 2024 going off of monthly deliveries. The entirety of Europe cannot even match this. The only country I am aware of that can produce this many tanks per month is South Korea and China. This has likely increased since then but due to increased OPSEC, there have been no videos of batches of T-90Ms (or even T-72B3s) being delivered. But missile production has doubled since 2024 so I would not be surprised that tank production has also doubled to 40-60 per month (480-720 per year).

    I have been keeping track of T-90M deliveries for a while now:

    Link

    Link

    Link

    Link

    Link

    Link

    Link

    Link

    Link

    It was always around 20-30 per month last year. This means Russia produces more tanks than the amount the entire German military has in a single year. And as I stated, this likely has doubled but it is impossible to verify as OPSEC means we have not seen any deliveries on video for half a year now. Europe can’t even produce their own ballistic missiles which have been a game changer in Ukraine as shown by the effectiveness of ATACMS and Iskander-M.

    Russia is producing more shells than the entirety of Europe combined who struggles to supply Ukraine with even a million shells (while Russia was producing 3 million per year in 2024).




  • But it’s zelenskys fault that Russia invaded

    Yes, he failed to implement Minsk II as he claimed he would during his election campaign.

    Instead, Ukraine proceeded to implement new language laws which discriminated against the Russian language (going against the agreement), continued to imprison and torture political dissidents after the agreement was made as per Amnesty International which was also in violation of the Minsk Agreement which explicity stated that Ukraine was not allowed to imprison or punish people due to events related to the war in Donbas. Ukraine also refused to allow local elections in violation of the agreement.

    "Ukraine insists that local elections can take place only after a complete ceasefire and withdrawal of all Russian troops and weapons.

    Clear violation of the agreement as the entire agreement was Ukraine allows local elections, Russia withdraws then everyone’s happy. Russia can’t do its part if Ukraine doesn’t. The agreement specifically stated that elections come first and then withdrawal not the other way around. Ukraine clearly violated the agreement.

    Or, it’s a military target? Without children and civilians?

    Hiroshima was a military target but we both can agree that there were civilians there.

    There weren’t military personnel there?

    There indeed was, please check the guy at the last second of this video

    Unless you want to argue that a humanitarian aid worker is equipped with camouflage, try again.










  • Ukraine followed the agreement and disarmed itself, Russia did not and actually armed up, you skipped that part…

    Nothing in the Budapest Memorandum forced Russia to disarm itself.

    Russia was also forbidden to continue military actions and they did anyway. (This included the illegal occupation of Crimea, followed by a falsified gun-point referendum. By doing this, Russia completely disregarded its obligations to respect Ukrainian borders and independence).

    Such actions were undertaken after US sanctioned Belarus in 2013 in violation of the agreement thus it was already by that point, null and void in its entirety.

    It depends? One can argue? Do you want to commit here or just dance around the point

    If you want my opinion, the 2014 coup made all previous agreements null and void. I mean the coup happened because snipers part of the maidan movement shot their own protestors as a false flag resulting in Yanukovych’s regime’s downfall.

    The spirit of the agreement? What the fuck are you talking about… They broke the agreement thousands of times.

    According to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense…

    Nonetheless, no Russian actions ever broken the spirit of the agreement. Minsk II was supposed to bring peace to Ukraine by providing more autonomy to regions with large ethnic minority populations, ceasefire violations committed by both sides does not violate the spirit of the agreement.

    The entire agreement was Ukraine allows local elections, Russia withdraws then everyone’s happy. Russia can’t do its part if Ukraine doesn’t.

    Fuck you, fuck off and fuck Russia.

    Again, rude.


  • Are they? Ukraine had many years to implement the Minsk agreement, Instead, Ukraine proceeded to implement new language laws which discriminated against the Russian language (going against the agreement), continued to imprison and torture political dissidents after the agreement was made as per Amnesty International which was also in violation of the Minsk Agreement which explicity stated that Ukraine was not allowed to imprison or punish people due to events related to the war in Donbas. Ukraine also refused to allow local elections.

    "Ukraine insists that local elections can take place only after a complete ceasefire and withdrawal of all Russian troops and weapons.

    Clear violation of spirit of agreement as such Russian forces were necessary for protecting the autonomy of the people in the Donbas until Minsk implementation.

    The entire agreement was Ukraine allows local elections, Russia withdraws then everyone’s happy. Russia can’t do its part if Ukraine doesn’t



  • It was not “explicitly prohibited” by the agreement. Stop spreading misinformation. This is a quick read to find out how obviously wrong you are.

    Yes it was,

    “Refrain from economic coercion designed to subordinate to their own interest the exercise by Ukraine, the Republic of Belarus and Kazakhstan of the rights inherent in its sovereignty and thus to secure advantages of any kind.”

    Try again.

    Meanwhile, “One can argue that Russian actions (passive language) on 2014” for something that was EXPLICITLY forbidden.

    It depends if you consider it null and void due to 2014 coup. If you don’t, it was in violation of that agreement.


  • Oh you mean the one where Ukraine disarmed itself in exchange for sovereignty and protection and Russia armed up and got sanctioned for breaking the agreement. What a dumb fucking example.

    No it isn’t, US sanctioned Belarus in 2013 in violation of the agreement and America’s only response was that the Memorandum is “not legally binding” and this action made it null and void in its entirety.

    One can argue? No Russia broke this agreement too.

    It depends if you consider null and void due to 2014 coup or not.

    Minsk Agreements had already been violated by Russian troops more than 4000 times, as noted by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense during a meeting of the Ukraine-NATO Inter-Parliamentary Council. Ukrainians were shelled both from the temporarily occupied territories and from across the Russian border.

    No Russian action undertaken under the Minsk II agreements ever violated the SPIRIT of the agreement. There were ceasefire violations but Russia never violated the spirit of the agreement.

    It is for example, true that Russian-backed forces launched an offensive to capture a strategically important area but the fighting died down after 5 days when Minsk II came into effect when the area was captured and Russia also claimed that Minsk II did not apply to Debaltseve and Ukraine used similar arguments when launching their own operations into grey zones as you can see here:

    “Yuriy Biriukov, an adviser to Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, says that almost the entire “grey” zone in Donbas, eastern Ukraine, has been liberated from Russian-led forces without breaching the Minsk peace agreements and is under control of the Ukrainian army.”

    Zelenskyy on the other hand, refused to federalize the country despite Ukraine having the obligation to give eastern territories autonomy through federalizing the country because of the Minsk Agreements. Ukraine also had the obligation to uphold linguistic rights to ethnic minorities but violated the Minsk Agreements with the 2019 language law which didn’t outright ban the Russian language but did discriminate against those who did not speak Ukrainian or an EU language.

    Fuck off.

    Rude.