• 4 Posts
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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 6th, 2023

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  • I mean, yeah, 1000 people is enough assuming there’s no sampling bias. But if you’ve got sampling bias, increasing the sampling size won’t actually help you. The issue you’re talking about is unrelated to how many people you talk to.

    Your own suggestion of splitting up the respondents by state would itself introduce sampling bias, way over sampling low population states and way under sampling high population states. The survey was interested in the opinions of the nation as a whole, so arbitrary binning by states would be a big mistake. You want your sampling procedure to have equal change of returning a response from any random person in the nation. With a sample size of 1000, you’re not going to have much random-induced bias for one location or another, aside from population density, which is fine because the survey is about USA people and not people in sub-USA locations.






















  • It’s way more complicated than that.

    The legislature is historically responsible for 70% of the attempts to amend the constitution and they’re trying to make it even harder for citizen lead initiatives to happen. Only about 25% of citizen amendments pass when they get put to a vote, a total of 19 successes in all of Ohio history. We’re not drowning in direct democracy here.

    The real problem is that the proposed signature requirement is so onerous basically no one will ever be able to get anything on the ballot ever again.

    Add to this that the August ballot measure is 100% a retaliation for the upcoming November ballot measure, and yeah, it’s total bullshit. We’re not even supposed to have August elections anymore and the secretary of state basically changed the rules just for this.